Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Dowd 48.3% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 91.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 91.2%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 64.7%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Kopitar
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Kopitar
Dowd
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
6
2
Kopitar
Dowd
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
5
Kopitar
Dowd
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
1
Kopitar
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
49.2% (778)
+7.2%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
58.3% (12)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
44.0% (234)
+1.5%
On even strength, Kopitar has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kopitar is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (536).
Kopitar shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Dowd
Home
56.1% (786)
46.3% (492)
Away
54.0% (774)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Kopitar
Dowd
P1
56.2%
49.1%
P2
55.4%
48.2%
P3
53.0%
46.9%
OT
70.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
56.1%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 18:14 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 16:17 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 07:03 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |