Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Dowd 49.1% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 96.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 56.1%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 78.2%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Kopitar
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Kopitar
Dowd
Last 8: Kopitar 6-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
1
Kopitar
Dowd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Kopitar
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
51.7% (644)
+3.2%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
0.0% (2)
+64.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
41.6% (221)
+9.1%
On power play, Kopitar has a +64.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kopitar is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Kopitar shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Dowd
Home
56.8% (533)
48.6% (451)
Away
55.3% (535)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Kopitar
Dowd
P1
55.9%
49.1%
P2
57.1%
47.3%
P3
55.4%
51.4%
OT
55.6%
30.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 05:03 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |