Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Paul 53.6% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 71.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 70.9%
Neutral zone
Paul 70.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Kopitar
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kopitar
Paul
Last 6: Kopitar 1-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
5
Kopitar
Paul
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (691)
53.8% (318)
+1.0%
Power Play
64.9% (205)
61.4% (57)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (149)
50.0% (32)
+0.3%
On power play, Kopitar has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Kopitar shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (297).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Paul
Home
56.8% (533)
54.6% (183)
Away
55.5% (512)
54.5% (224)
By Period
Kopitar
Paul
P1
55.7%
57.0%
P2
57.0%
56.2%
P3
56.0%
51.7%
OT
52.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.6%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
66.0%▲
52.5%
56.2%
Paul
58.0%▲
54.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Nick Paul |