Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Paul 52.2% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 23-19 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 71.1%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 54.1%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 57.5%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Kopitar
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
19
(42 meetings)
23
19
Kopitar
Paul
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
7
15
Kopitar
Paul
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
12
0
Kopitar
Paul
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Kopitar
Paul
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
52.5% (3,796)
+2.1%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
56.5% (480)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
46.7% (574)
+1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,150).
Kopitar shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,067).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Paul
Home
55.3% (11,643)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Kopitar
Paul
P1
54.5%
53.9%
P2
54.9%
51.0%
P3
53.9%
52.0%
OT
59.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:46 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:11 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:22 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Nick Paul |