Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs Paul 50.4% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 95.3%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 74.9%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 78.0%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Kopitar
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Kopitar
Paul
Last 8: Kopitar 7-1 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
1
Kopitar
Paul
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
0
Kopitar
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
53.0% (644)
+4.6%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
37.5% (24)
+23.1%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
42.9% (177)
+4.0%
On power play, Kopitar has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kopitar is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (916).
Kopitar shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Paul
Home
57.2% (778)
52.5% (516)
Away
56.5% (731)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Kopitar
Paul
P1
56.3%
47.6%
P2
57.1%
48.4%
P3
57.0%
54.5%
OT
59.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 01:02 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |