Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Paul 53.3% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 67.9%
Defensive zone
Paul 68.5%
Neutral zone
Paul 67.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Kopitar
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kopitar
Paul
Last 6: Kopitar 1-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
5
Kopitar
Paul
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
53.2% (327)
+1.7%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
61.4% (57)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
50.0% (32)
+0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kopitar is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Kopitar shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Paul
Home
56.8% (533)
54.6% (183)
Away
55.3% (535)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Kopitar
Paul
P1
55.9%
56.3%
P2
57.1%
54.8%
P3
55.4%
52.4%
OT
55.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.0%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Nick Paul |