Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Paul 53.4% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 52.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 59.5%
Neutral zone
Paul 61.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Kopitar
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kopitar
Paul
Last 7: Kopitar 3-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
3
Kopitar
Paul
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
53.8% (753)
+2.6%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
58.9% (90)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
47.4% (78)
+0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,025).
Kopitar shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Paul
Home
56.3% (783)
54.2% (450)
Away
55.5% (825)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Kopitar
Paul
P1
57.9%
58.2%
P2
54.5%
50.6%
P3
55.2%
52.9%
OT
57.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Nick Paul |