Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 54.3%). Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Paul 53.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 52.7%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 52.4%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 58.5%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Kopitar
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Kopitar
Paul
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Kopitar
Paul
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
0
Kopitar
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
53.1% (710)
+3.3%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
57.3% (199)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
58.0% (69)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,024).
Kopitar shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Paul
Home
56.1% (786)
56.0% (466)
Away
54.0% (774)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Kopitar
Paul
P1
56.2%
57.2%
P2
55.4%
54.9%
P3
53.0%
51.5%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:46 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:11 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:22 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Nick Paul |