Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Paul 51.0% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 64.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 66.1%
Neutral zone
Paul 61.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Kopitar
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kopitar
Paul
Last 6: Kopitar 2-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Kopitar
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Kopitar
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (1,009)
53.5% (312)
+1.7%
Power Play
56.3% (229)
53.8% (26)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (169)
29.4% (34)
+23.9%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kopitar is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Kopitar shoots left. Paul is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Paul
Home
55.9% (680)
45.8% (153)
Away
54.5% (727)
55.0% (220)
By Period
Kopitar
Paul
P1
55.4%
55.9%
P2
52.9%
48.9%
P3
56.7%
50.0%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.4%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.2%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2020 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 1 | 18:17 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 15:14 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |