Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.7% vs Sturm 50.9% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 73.6%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 55.0%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 64.7%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Kopitar
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kopitar
Sturm
Last 7: Kopitar 4-3 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Kopitar
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
2
Kopitar
Sturm
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (742)
50.8% (126)
+4.7%
Power Play
63.9% (219)
50.0% (2)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (193)
66.7% (6)
-10.2%
On power play, Kopitar has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kopitar is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (923).
Kopitar shoots left. Sturm is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Sturm
Home
58.7% (557)
54.1% (74)
Away
55.9% (597)
48.3% (60)
By Period
Kopitar
Sturm
P1
55.9%
48.1%
P2
60.3%
62.0%
P3
55.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
66.1%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.3%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 08:36 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 15:10 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |