Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Sturm 56.1% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 74.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 71.8%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.5%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Kopitar
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
15
(31 meetings)
16
15
Kopitar
Sturm
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
9
3
Kopitar
Sturm
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
3
7
Kopitar
Sturm
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
4
5
Kopitar
Sturm
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
57.1% (2,719)
-2.5%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
61.3% (62)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
51.0% (498)
-2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,150).
Kopitar shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Sturm
Home
55.3% (11,643)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Kopitar
Sturm
P1
54.5%
56.5%
P2
54.9%
54.9%
P3
53.9%
57.4%
OT
59.2%
60.6%
Final 5 min
54.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 08:51 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 17:20 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 17:06 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:38 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:23 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |