Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jenner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Jenner 53.3% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 19-12 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 61.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 75.6%
Neutral zone
Jenner 68.0%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Matthews
Jenner
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
19
(31 meetings)
12
19
Matthews
Jenner
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 Jenner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
3
Matthews
Jenner
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
6
Matthews
Jenner
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
5
10
Matthews
Jenner
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
54.1% (851)
+2.2%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
54.0% (202)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
50.3% (145)
-0.3%
On power play, Matthews has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Home / Away
Matthews
Jenner
Home
60.7% (572)
53.2% (609)
Away
52.4% (657)
54.0% (589)
By Period
Matthews
Jenner
P1
60.3%
49.7%
P2
55.6%
53.6%
P3
53.3%
56.5%
OT
45.0%
65.2%
Final 5 min
54.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 08:40 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:07 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 13:19 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 05:11 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:06 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 22, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 05:32 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 05:41 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |