Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jenner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Jenner 50.8% (+5.6%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 63.4%
Defensive zone
Matthews 52.3%
Neutral zone
Jenner 51.4%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Matthews
Jenner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
50.3% (163)
+8.0%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
52.0% (25)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
58.8% (17)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Jenner is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Matthews
Jenner
Home
59.1% (528)
45.7% (81)
Away
55.1% (695)
54.8% (124)
By Period
Matthews
Jenner
P1
56.2%
46.6%
P2
58.1%
58.3%
P3
56.4%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%