Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jenner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Jenner 50.1% (+9.5%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 57.3%
Defensive zone
Matthews 52.9%
Neutral zone
Jenner 53.8%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Matthews
Jenner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
49.8% (227)
+10.0%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
52.2% (23)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
52.9% (17)
+3.4%
On power play, Matthews has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Jenner is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Matthews
Jenner
Home
60.0% (520)
51.0% (143)
Away
59.3% (452)
49.2% (124)
By Period
Matthews
Jenner
P1
60.2%
51.7%
P2
58.2%
40.5%
P3
60.4%
57.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%