Auston Matthews vs Connor McDavid

2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Auston Matthews holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Matthews 55.8% vs McDavid 53.4% (+2.5%)
H2H factor Matthews leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Matthews 69.8%
Defensive zone Matthews 57.7%
Neutral zone Matthews 67.2%
Result Auston Matthews favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Matthews McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 4 (10 meetings)
6
4
Matthews McDavid
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 McDavid

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Matthews McDavid
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews McDavid
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
2
Matthews McDavid
7 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Matthews
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
54.3% (1,002)
+2.0%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
44.8% (29)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
33.3% (15)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +16.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Matthews
McDavid
Home
60.7% (572)
53.6% (507)
Away
52.4% (657)
53.8% (539)
By Period
Matthews
McDavid
P1
60.3%
52.6%
P2
55.6%
54.1%
P3
53.3%
54.9%
OT
45.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
52.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%
64.0%
56.2%
McDavid
50.0%
50.0%
53.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 14, 2021 2 06:16 Neutral Auston Matthews
Dec 14, 2021 2 06:12 Neutral Auston Matthews
Dec 14, 2021 2 03:46 Offensive Connor McDavid
Dec 14, 2021 2 00:24 Defensive Auston Matthews
Dec 14, 2021 2 00:17 Neutral Auston Matthews
Dec 14, 2021 2 00:00 Neutral Connor McDavid
Dec 14, 2021 1 19:25 Neutral Connor McDavid
Dec 14, 2021 1 09:16 Defensive Connor McDavid
Dec 14, 2021 1 06:28 Neutral Auston Matthews
Dec 14, 2021 1 00:00 Neutral Auston Matthews