Auston Matthews vs Connor McDavid
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs McDavid 53.4% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 69.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 57.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 67.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Matthews
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Matthews
McDavid
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Matthews
McDavid
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
McDavid
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
2
Matthews
McDavid
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
54.3% (1,002)
+2.0%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
44.8% (29)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
33.3% (15)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Matthews
McDavid
Home
60.7% (572)
53.6% (507)
Away
52.4% (657)
53.8% (539)
By Period
Matthews
McDavid
P1
60.3%
52.6%
P2
55.6%
54.1%
P3
53.3%
54.9%
OT
45.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:24 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:17 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |