Auston Matthews vs Connor McDavid

2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 51.9%). Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Matthews 52.2% vs McDavid 51.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor Matthews leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone Matthews 73.0%
Defensive zone McDavid 58.6%
Neutral zone Matthews 61.1%
Result Auston Matthews favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Matthews McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 5 (12 meetings)
7
5
Matthews McDavid
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 McDavid

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews McDavid
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
2
Matthews McDavid
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
2
Matthews McDavid
7 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Matthews
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
51.5% (889)
+1.2%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
63.9% (36)
-29.3%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
51.2% (86)
+23.8%
On power play, McDavid has a +29.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Matthews
McDavid
Home
54.8% (515)
50.7% (513)
Away
50.2% (534)
53.2% (498)
By Period
Matthews
McDavid
P1
54.4%
52.3%
P2
50.4%
51.6%
P3
51.8%
51.7%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
56.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%
64.0%
52.4%
McDavid
50.0%
50.0%
51.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 11, 2023 3 03:41 Offensive Connor McDavid
Mar 11, 2023 2 18:20 Neutral Auston Matthews
Mar 11, 2023 2 15:56 Neutral Auston Matthews
Mar 11, 2023 2 08:33 Neutral Connor McDavid
Mar 11, 2023 2 08:26 Neutral Auston Matthews
Mar 11, 2023 2 00:00 Neutral Auston Matthews
Mar 11, 2023 1 07:07 Defensive Connor McDavid
Mar 11, 2023 1 03:27 Neutral Connor McDavid
Mar 11, 2023 1 00:00 Neutral Auston Matthews
Mar 1, 2023 1 14:16 Defensive Connor McDavid
Mar 1, 2023 1 07:44 Offensive Auston Matthews
Mar 1, 2023 1 04:20 Defensive Auston Matthews