Auston Matthews vs Connor McDavid
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 51.9%). Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs McDavid 51.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 73.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 58.6%
Neutral zone
Matthews 61.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Matthews
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Matthews
McDavid
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
McDavid
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
2
Matthews
McDavid
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
2
Matthews
McDavid
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
51.5% (889)
+1.2%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
63.9% (36)
-29.3%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
51.2% (86)
+23.8%
On power play, McDavid has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Matthews
McDavid
Home
54.8% (515)
50.7% (513)
Away
50.2% (534)
53.2% (498)
By Period
Matthews
McDavid
P1
54.4%
52.3%
P2
50.4%
51.6%
P3
51.8%
51.7%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 18:20 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:56 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:26 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 07:07 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:27 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |