Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.2% vs 55.9%). Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Ryan 54.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 83.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 68.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 54.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 83.9%
83.9%
16.1%
Matthews
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Matthews
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
60.2% (387)
-3.9%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
28.6% (7)
+28.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
43.2% (118)
+6.8%
On power play, Matthews has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Matthews
Ryan
Home
60.7% (572)
56.7% (254)
Away
52.4% (657)
55.0% (258)
By Period
Matthews
Ryan
P1
60.3%
56.9%
P2
55.6%
51.7%
P3
53.3%
59.2%
OT
45.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |