Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Ryan 50.0% (+2.4%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 79.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 76.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 51.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Matthews
Ryan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
50.9% (344)
+1.8%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
75.0% (4)
-40.4%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
45.3% (86)
+29.7%
On power play, Ryan has a +40.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Matthews
Ryan
Home
54.8% (515)
53.7% (214)
Away
50.2% (534)
46.4% (220)
By Period
Matthews
Ryan
P1
54.4%
45.0%
P2
50.4%
50.0%
P3
51.8%
54.6%
Final 5 min
53.7%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%