Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Ryan 54.6% (-2.3%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 84.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 69.4%
Neutral zone
Matthews 52.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Matthews
Ryan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
60.8% (263)
-7.4%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
100.0% (1)
-34.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
46.2% (145)
-4.3%
On power play, Ryan has a +34.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Matthews is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Matthews shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Matthews
Ryan
Home
56.5% (703)
56.7% (201)
Away
50.0% (616)
54.8% (208)
By Period
Matthews
Ryan
P1
52.1%
56.7%
P2
54.0%
56.8%
P3
54.0%
53.7%
Final 5 min
54.6%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%