Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Malkin 46.1% (+15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 54.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 88.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 79.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
Matthews
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Matthews
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
45.7% (219)
+14.1%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
34.6% (26)
+30.3%
On power play, Matthews has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Matthews
Malkin
Home
60.0% (520)
50.4% (113)
Away
59.3% (452)
39.4% (132)
By Period
Matthews
Malkin
P1
60.2%
47.7%
P2
58.2%
44.9%
P3
60.4%
40.0%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
35.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |