Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 57.9% vs Malkin 46.8% (+13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 55.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 84.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 78.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Matthews
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Matthews
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (715)
45.0% (211)
+13.6%
Power Play
65.7% (35)
100.0% (1)
-34.3%
On power play, Malkin has a +34.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Matthews is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Matthews shoots left. Malkin is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Matthews
Malkin
Home
60.0% (475)
51.5% (103)
Away
57.2% (346)
39.4% (109)
By Period
Matthews
Malkin
P1
58.3%
47.9%
P2
58.4%
47.7%
P3
59.4%
40.0%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
58.8%
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |