Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Malkin 45.0% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 70.4%
Defensive zone
Matthews 78.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 74.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Matthews
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Matthews
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
44.0% (366)
+12.3%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
30.0% (10)
+27.5%
On power play, Matthews has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Malkin is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Matthews
Malkin
Home
60.7% (572)
45.5% (202)
Away
52.4% (657)
41.4% (174)
By Period
Matthews
Malkin
P1
60.3%
48.4%
P2
55.6%
41.7%
P3
53.3%
40.4%
OT
45.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |