Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Malkin 46.4% (+11.0%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 71.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 72.7%
Neutral zone
Malkin 53.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Matthews
Malkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
45.5% (602)
+12.8%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
50.0% (30)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
100.0% (1)
-49.3%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Matthews
Malkin
Home
59.1% (528)
47.5% (326)
Away
55.1% (695)
44.0% (307)
By Period
Matthews
Malkin
P1
56.2%
49.3%
P2
58.1%
44.7%
P3
56.4%
42.3%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%