Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Matthews wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 47.1% vs Malkin 43.9% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 79.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 78.9%
Neutral zone
Matthews 80.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Matthews
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Matthews
Malkin
Last 8: Matthews 6-2 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
2
Matthews
Malkin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,000)
42.7% (827)
+3.5%
Power Play
53.6% (125)
63.2% (19)
-9.6%
On power play, Malkin has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Matthews is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Matthews shoots left. Malkin is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Matthews
Malkin
Home
48.4% (562)
45.1% (426)
Away
45.3% (570)
41.2% (420)
By Period
Matthews
Malkin
P1
51.3%
41.3%
P2
44.5%
44.0%
P3
44.6%
44.7%
OT
55.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
46.8%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 14:29 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 03:59 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 11:14 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |