Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 54.5% vs Malkin 50.3% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 11-1 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 80.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 84.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 84.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Matthews
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
1
(12 meetings)
11
1
Matthews
Malkin
Last 10: Matthews 9-1 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
0
Matthews
Malkin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
1
Matthews
Malkin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (856)
50.5% (774)
+4.6%
Power Play
54.3% (46)
53.3% (92)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
10.0% (10)
+40.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Matthews shoots left. Malkin is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Home / Away
Matthews
Malkin
Home
57.0% (440)
49.1% (411)
Away
53.1% (480)
51.4% (465)
By Period
Matthews
Malkin
P1
54.0%
49.5%
P2
55.1%
54.7%
P3
56.4%
46.7%
OT
42.9%
47.1%
Final 5 min
51.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 07:28 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:52 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 19:14 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |