Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Evans 51.7% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 84.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 69.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 57.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Matthews
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Matthews
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
54.5% (483)
-1.8%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
58.3% (12)
-23.7%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
43.9% (155)
+31.1%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Matthews
Evans
Home
54.8% (515)
49.4% (336)
Away
50.2% (534)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Matthews
Evans
P1
54.4%
55.8%
P2
50.4%
51.7%
P3
51.8%
48.2%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |