Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Skinner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Skinner 43.5% (+15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 51.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 90.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 67.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 90.8%
90.8%
9.2%
Matthews
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Matthews
Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Skinner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
37.5% (152)
+18.8%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
47.9% (71)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Skinner is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Matthews
Skinner
Home
60.7% (572)
41.5% (130)
Away
52.4% (657)
39.4% (94)
By Period
Matthews
Skinner
P1
60.3%
32.9%
P2
55.6%
47.1%
P3
53.3%
40.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
40.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |