Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Skinner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Skinner 50.3% (+5.6%)
Offensive zone
Skinner 64.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 68.3%
Neutral zone
Skinner 51.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Matthews
Skinner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
51.5% (33)
+6.8%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
50.0% (10)
+5.7%
On even strength, Matthews has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Skinner is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Home / Away
Matthews
Skinner
Home
59.1% (528)
57.1% (21)
Away
55.1% (695)
45.5% (22)
By Period
Matthews
Skinner
P1
56.2%
50.0%
P2
58.1%
57.1%
P3
56.4%
45.5%
Final 5 min
55.5%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.2%