Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +32.4% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Skinner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Skinner 47.7% (+32.4%)
Offensive zone
Skinner 54.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 56.9%
Neutral zone
Matthews 51.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Matthews
Skinner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
20.0% (10)
+39.8%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
100.0% (1)
-35.1%
On even strength, Matthews has a +39.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Skinner is 28.6% vs left-shot opponents (7).
Home / Away
Matthews
Skinner
Home
60.0% (520)
28.6% (7)
Away
59.3% (452)
25.0% (4)
By Period
Matthews
Skinner
P1
60.2%
0.0%
P2
58.2%
66.7%
P3
60.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
27.3%