Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Skinner 48.0% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 53.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 93.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 79.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Matthews
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Matthews
Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Skinner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Skinner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
46.8% (222)
+5.9%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
48.7% (78)
-14.1%
On power play, Skinner has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Skinner is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Matthews
Skinner
Home
54.8% (515)
53.8% (169)
Away
50.2% (534)
38.9% (131)
By Period
Matthews
Skinner
P1
54.4%
48.1%
P2
50.4%
47.1%
P3
51.8%
46.9%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:07 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |