Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Tavares 59.8% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 58.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 50.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Matthews
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
60.9% (1,043)
-4.6%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
60.4% (278)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
47.6% (21)
+2.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Matthews
Tavares
Home
60.7% (572)
63.5% (684)
Away
52.4% (657)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Matthews
Tavares
P1
60.3%
60.3%
P2
55.6%
60.4%
P3
53.3%
60.1%
OT
45.0%
92.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%