Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Tavares 57.7% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 62.3%
Defensive zone
Matthews 63.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Matthews
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
57.7% (998)
+0.6%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
60.5% (271)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
56.4% (39)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Matthews
Tavares
Home
59.1% (528)
59.7% (610)
Away
55.1% (695)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Matthews
Tavares
P1
56.2%
57.2%
P2
58.1%
58.5%
P3
56.4%
59.4%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
55.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%