Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Tavares 57.2% (+1.9%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 68.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 64.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 58.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Matthews
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
58.0% (914)
+1.8%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
57.0% (235)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
57.9% (19)
-1.6%
On power play, Matthews has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Matthews
Tavares
Home
60.0% (520)
57.8% (614)
Away
59.3% (452)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Matthews
Tavares
P1
60.2%
58.0%
P2
58.2%
56.9%
P3
60.4%
58.4%
OT
70.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
57.6%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%