Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Tavares 57.7% (-5.9%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 51.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 52.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 52.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Matthews
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
57.5% (914)
-4.8%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
60.5% (309)
-25.9%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
59.1% (22)
+15.9%
On power play, Tavares has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Matthews
Tavares
Home
54.8% (515)
61.0% (661)
Away
50.2% (534)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Matthews
Tavares
P1
54.4%
58.6%
P2
50.4%
57.8%
P3
51.8%
58.4%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%