Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Tavares 58.7% (-5.9%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 62.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 61.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Matthews
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
59.2% (1,035)
-5.8%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
60.0% (310)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
42.9% (7)
-1.0%
On even strength, Tavares has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Matthews
Tavares
Home
56.5% (703)
57.5% (668)
Away
50.0% (616)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Matthews
Tavares
P1
52.1%
58.0%
P2
54.0%
60.1%
P3
54.0%
61.0%
OT
57.7%
27.8%
Final 5 min
54.6%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%