Auston Matthews vs Justin Danforth
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Danforth 52.5% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 77.6%
Defensive zone
Matthews 53.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 65.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Matthews
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Matthews
Danforth
Last 6: Matthews 4-2 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
Danforth
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Danforth
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
1
Matthews
Danforth
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
54.3% (162)
+2.0%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
50.0% (10)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
51.9% (27)
-1.9%
On power play, Matthews has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Danforth is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Matthews
Danforth
Home
60.7% (572)
51.9% (81)
Away
52.4% (657)
55.1% (118)
By Period
Matthews
Danforth
P1
60.3%
49.2%
P2
55.6%
50.8%
P3
53.3%
62.9%
OT
45.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 02:57 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 18:35 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 16:25 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 08:03 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |