Auston Matthews vs Justin Danforth
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Danforth 49.5% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 76.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 53.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 56.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Matthews
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Matthews
Danforth
Last 5: Matthews 3-2 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Danforth
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Danforth
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Danforth
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
50.5% (546)
+7.8%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
50.0% (14)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
43.6% (101)
+7.1%
On even strength, Matthews has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Matthews is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Matthews shoots left. Danforth is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Matthews
Danforth
Home
59.1% (528)
51.1% (315)
Away
55.1% (695)
48.0% (346)
By Period
Matthews
Danforth
P1
56.2%
49.5%
P2
58.1%
51.4%
P3
56.4%
46.6%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:59 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |