Auston Matthews vs Justin Danforth
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Danforth on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Matthews wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Danforth 48.8% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Danforth leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 63.0%
Defensive zone
Danforth 70.2%
Neutral zone
Danforth 52.7%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Matthews
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Matthews
Danforth
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
2
3
Matthews
Danforth
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Matthews
Danforth
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Danforth
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
51.2% (281)
+2.2%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
55.6% (9)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
35.8% (67)
+6.1%
On power play, Matthews has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Matthews is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Matthews shoots left. Danforth is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Matthews
Danforth
Home
56.5% (703)
52.0% (196)
Away
50.0% (616)
44.1% (161)
By Period
Matthews
Danforth
P1
52.1%
48.2%
P2
54.0%
52.8%
P3
54.0%
42.2%
OT
57.7%
83.3%
Final 5 min
54.6%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 11:05 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 06:25 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |