Auston Matthews vs Justin Danforth
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Danforth 51.1% (+4.9%)
Offensive zone
Danforth 57.3%
Defensive zone
Danforth 51.7%
Neutral zone
Danforth 55.5%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Matthews
Danforth
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
78.9% (19)
-19.1%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
100.0% (1)
-35.1%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
9.1% (11)
+47.2%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Matthews is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Matthews shoots left. Danforth is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Matthews
Danforth
Home
60.0% (520)
50.0% (24)
Away
59.3% (452)
71.4% (7)
By Period
Matthews
Danforth
P1
60.2%
55.6%
P2
58.2%
62.5%
P3
60.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
75.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
54.8%