Auston Matthews vs Justin Danforth
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Danforth 49.8% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 82.1%
Defensive zone
Danforth 52.9%
Neutral zone
Matthews 60.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Matthews
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Matthews
Danforth
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
5
Matthews
Danforth
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
4
Matthews
Danforth
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Matthews
Danforth
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
51.8% (1,018)
+2.2%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
50.0% (36)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
40.1% (207)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Danforth is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (937).
Home / Away
Matthews
Danforth
Home
56.3% (5,065)
51.4% (619)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
48.3% (642)
By Period
Matthews
Danforth
P1
55.5%
49.1%
P2
53.3%
51.4%
P3
52.8%
48.3%
OT
56.6%
64.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:59 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 29, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 11:05 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 06:25 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 02:57 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |