Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +23.9% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Hayes 42.7% (+23.9%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 53.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 74.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Matthews
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
31.9% (91)
+27.9%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
64.3% (14)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
0.0% (1)
+56.3%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Matthews
Hayes
Home
60.0% (520)
30.6% (49)
Away
59.3% (452)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Matthews
Hayes
P1
60.2%
22.9%
P2
58.2%
40.0%
P3
60.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.6%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%