Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Barzal 46.9% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 59.9%
Defensive zone
Barzal 55.2%
Neutral zone
Barzal 55.7%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Matthews
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Matthews
Barzal
Last 6: Matthews 3-3 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Matthews
Barzal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
46.6% (483)
+9.7%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
40.9% (22)
+16.6%
On power play, Matthews has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Matthews
Barzal
Home
60.7% (572)
49.6% (242)
Away
52.4% (657)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Matthews
Barzal
P1
60.3%
42.4%
P2
55.6%
49.5%
P3
53.3%
47.7%
OT
45.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 01:07 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |