Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Barzal 46.3% (+10.4%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 51.4%
Defensive zone
Matthews 61.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 54.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Matthews
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
43.0% (114)
+10.4%
On even strength, Matthews has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Matthews is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Matthews shoots left. Barzal is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Matthews
Barzal
Home
56.5% (703)
35.8% (53)
Away
50.0% (616)
49.2% (61)
By Period
Matthews
Barzal
P1
52.1%
44.2%
P2
54.0%
38.5%
P3
54.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
54.6%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.0%