Auston Matthews vs Mathew Barzal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Barzal 42.2% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 22-20 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 71.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 72.9%
Neutral zone
Matthews 74.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Matthews
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
20
(42 meetings)
22
20
Matthews
Barzal
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
9
5
Matthews
Barzal
14 total
Defensive Zone
Even
9
9
Matthews
Barzal
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
4
6
Matthews
Barzal
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
41.9% (3,565)
+12.1%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
43.4% (205)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
42.3% (26)
+7.5%
On even strength, Matthews has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
Matthews
Barzal
Home
56.3% (5,065)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Matthews
Barzal
P1
55.5%
40.7%
P2
53.3%
44.4%
P3
52.8%
41.0%
OT
56.6%
27.6%
Final 5 min
54.1%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:22 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:50 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 03:09 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:13 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |