Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Barzal 39.3% (+16.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 80.9%
Defensive zone
Matthews 92.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 90.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Matthews
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Matthews
Barzal
Last 7: Matthews 5-2 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Barzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
35.0% (283)
+17.7%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
55.6% (9)
-21.0%
On power play, Barzal has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Matthews
Barzal
Home
54.8% (515)
37.0% (138)
Away
50.2% (534)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Matthews
Barzal
P1
54.4%
29.5%
P2
50.4%
44.5%
P3
51.8%
31.8%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 03:09 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:13 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |