Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Barzal 47.4% (+14.5%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 62.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 69.3%
Neutral zone
Barzal 53.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Matthews
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
42.3% (52)
+16.0%
On even strength, Matthews has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Matthews is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Matthews shoots left. Barzal is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Matthews
Barzal
Home
59.1% (528)
28.0% (25)
Away
55.1% (695)
55.6% (27)
By Period
Matthews
Barzal
P1
56.2%
47.4%
P2
58.1%
45.8%
P3
56.4%
22.2%
Final 5 min
55.5%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.3%