Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Duchene 52.8% (+2.1%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 71.3%
Defensive zone
Matthews 74.6%
Neutral zone
Matthews 50.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Matthews
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
46.9% (162)
+9.4%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
73.2% (56)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
100.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Matthews
Duchene
Home
60.7% (572)
58.4% (125)
Away
52.4% (657)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Matthews
Duchene
P1
60.3%
56.9%
P2
55.6%
52.5%
P3
53.3%
51.9%
OT
45.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%