Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Duchene 52.1% (-0.5%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 60.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 71.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 56.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Matthews
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
53.9% (193)
-1.2%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
49.2% (65)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
100.0% (1)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Matthews
Duchene
Home
54.8% (515)
54.9% (113)
Away
50.2% (534)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Matthews
Duchene
P1
54.4%
54.9%
P2
50.4%
52.7%
P3
51.8%
51.9%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%