Auston Matthews vs Matt Duchene
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.2%). Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 20 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Duchene 54.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 33-26 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 52.3%
Defensive zone
Duchene 52.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 52.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Matthews
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
33
(59 meetings)
26
33
Matthews
Duchene
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
8
12
Matthews
Duchene
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
12
13
Matthews
Duchene
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
6
8
Matthews
Duchene
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
53.9% (10,396)
+0.1%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
56.9% (1,665)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
49.1% (468)
+0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Matthews
Duchene
Home
56.3% (5,065)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Matthews
Duchene
P1
55.5%
54.5%
P2
53.3%
54.5%
P3
52.8%
53.4%
OT
56.6%
56.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 11:05 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:21 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:07 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2019 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2019 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2019 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2019 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 6, 2019 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 6, 2019 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2019 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 6, 2019 | 1 | 01:05 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |