Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Domi 53.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 60.6%
Defensive zone
Domi 59.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 58.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Matthews
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Matthews
Domi
Last 6: Matthews 5-1 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Domi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Domi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Domi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
53.8% (847)
-1.1%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
52.1% (96)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
57.1% (7)
+17.9%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Domi is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Matthews
Domi
Home
54.8% (515)
53.9% (445)
Away
50.2% (534)
53.5% (505)
By Period
Matthews
Domi
P1
54.4%
51.4%
P2
50.4%
55.3%
P3
51.8%
54.7%
OT
75.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |